Monday, June 27, 2011

Sunday, May 29, 2011

China's most beautiful poem thousand ( finally the whole of the )

1 belt she does not regret becoming wide-end, to eliminate the Iraqi people were emaciated. - Liu Yong Your hand, old age together. - Anonymous - Guan, At this night embarrassed. - Li Bai - Anonymous - Zheng Chouyu - Li Bai - Yuan Zhen - Cao Zhi, - Nalanxingde - Zhang Ji, For this, I have been for five hundred years before the Buddha and begged him to let us end a carnal thoughts. - Hsi has - Chen Heng Ke, - Liang, Sijun like water, where there are poor have the time. - Xu dry - Sima Guang - Gong Zizhen Heart like double screen, there are thousands knot. - Zhang Xian - Huang Jingren - Yin - Yin - Nalanxingde - Yin - Zhang Zhong Su - Yuan, - Yin - Zhang a long time, - Xu Rethinking - Li Guan - Su Shi, - Anonymous - Bai - Bai - Wen Tingshi If you say no Romance, sympathetic Crackdown his life; if that there Romance, how to end their minds empty words? - Cao Xueqin, - Yin - Zhou Yi - Ouyang Xiu, Quiet and elegant lady, Marty. - Anonymous - Ouyang Xiu, Then even if we have, thousands of customs, but also with what people say. - Liu Yong - Li instrument - Similarities, - Chen Tao - Ji A leaf, I heard the sound of an empty stage dripping out. - Wen - Su Wu Who knows I love the status at this time. Anterior tears were before the rain curtain, Gechuang children dripping out. - Nie Shengqiong Introduction count, the total negative light. - Liu Yong - - Hsi with a - Fan Chengda - Dai Shulun - Liu Yong - Yuan Zhen - Gu, - Yu Xuanji - Yin - Lok Yuen - Bai After all, Acacia, not like a good meet. - Shao Rui Peng - Yan, Space in front, Crystal Hermit snow; the end did not forget, the world outside Xian Shu lonely forest. - Cao Xueqin's - Zhou Bangyan - Cao Xueqin - Ouyang Xiu - Feng Xiaoqing, Look forward to Long Beach, the grass to make red. Activity worry Yin, blue sky deaths, two hard to find. - Zhu Yizun Ichikawa tobacco, the city is Feng Xu, yellow plum when the rain. - He Zhu - Zhang bleeding - Liu Yuxi - Yan - Fan Zhongyan - Chen Shu Da - Su Wu - Chen Peng sister - Zhu Yizun Apart from the monthly horizon, no one knows. - Wei - Anonymous - Guan - Similarities More nakan, cold clear autumn festival. - Liu Yong - Yan, - Yuan Zhen - Wei - Lu with the - Lu with the - Similarities - Ouyang Xiu, - Ji Only for the love affair Everlasting. - Cao Xueqin's - Yan - Bai - Chen Duansheng - Comments on - Wen - Yan - Li Yu

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

34 Quotations are popular , are classical

1, do not tell me
2, I always thought you were special, just did not think was so special scum.
3, Erqi Road seriousness of the name, could not hide the lies it is not the way!
4, like happiness, not drying out, because the sun more, sooner or later will be dry, so low-key.
5, sister never copied, but did not say not to copy.
6, elderly women left: I have just made a difficult decision, we get married!
7, a woman loves you, you are the husband; ten women love you, you are lovers; one hundred women love you, you are idols; thousand women love you,
8, marry surnamed Li, and named after his son: Li Gang.
9, then Fadia, Pentium III can not change your age and appearance.
10, I only RMB service, thank you.
11, you, I do not believe even the punctuation.
12, I like so spineless people? wanted to send me a lollipop, at least two Caixing.
13, I think the blind has the following advantages. 1: to increase the thick-skinned degrees. 2: strengthen your resilience. 3: What experience love at first sight. 4: a test of communicative competence. 5: You can let others on their own to conduct a comprehensive assessment. 6: understand the feelings of how the zero-based.
14, mother: have a boyfriend yet? me: No! Mom: This may now have. I: This is really not ~
15, when I dream Do not wake me up, I woke up.
16, all the
18, just a beautiful turn, only to gorgeous wall.
19,2011, the stop engaging in ambiguous and refused to fall in love.
20, Do not push me, and then forced, I draw a circle on the ground you are ugly curse kissing!
21, do not tell me to talk about who are still sister has quit.
22, the so-called stubbornly persists, that you not leave, I will not give up, if you leave, I immediately give up!
23, suddenly a white light, make a good gesture that was **, later found turned out to be lightning, ~
24, what is white? is one month's wages in addition to travel expenses, living expenses, utilities, telephone charges, nothing left ~ one month's salary white-collar workers.
25, you have 2 choices, ① is to get rolling; ② is immediately roll, of course, you can also choose to roll almost immediately!
26, when you say I am not gentle, I just want to sing a song
28, her stepmother that failure is success, not failure to see children and old to help her!
29, there is a love called the stealth of their visibility, there is a known on-line hate them invisible.
30,80 and 90 after the post-difference: after 80 mostly like Speed, 90, after most of the like-hyun dance.
31, looking at the sky, tears will not fall, try to raise his head, the nose will not flow down.
32, if you're not going to let me marry you, then I married you.
33, while I still care when you go quickly, not when I do not care, get you rolling.
34, a woman loves you, you are the husband; few women love you, you are a man; ten women love you, you kind of love; hundred women love you, you are idols; thousand women love you You are a hero; million women love you, you are leaders; the country's women love you, you are RMB; women all over the world love you. Oh! You are sanitary napkins

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Duty

baby daddy duty today
three of us together into battle
old treasure himself to pull the safe ~~~~~ Oh
morning did not eat, just eat a bowl of instant noodles
2010年so unknowingly passed
is really quite meaningless

Monday, May 16, 2011

Reprinted Education expert recommendations to parents of 100

education experts recommended to the parents of 100 sunny spring

EDUCATOR :
1. And children spend half an hour exchange.
2. And children at home also use the term civilization,
3. Children develop a love for the good health habits.
4. Listen to the child's voice! - With patience, with love, with a happy heart is long with the eyes!
5. Not to remind children, and children are always exposed scars.
6. Serious that the child's mistake!
7. The children do not always serious, to laugh more with their children: because laughter can make a child more love life; guide their children positive, relaxed and happy looking at things.
8. Telling stories to children, be patient, the story has some educational value.
9. Do not achieve the ideal of the year has not been imposed on children, want their children to achieve.
10. Care for children but also the appropriate time needed for appropriate penalties, not to protect children short.
11. Education is not necessarily just and reasonable, appropriate and sometimes can take some tough measures.
12. With the child's performance, at least one day thinking about the kids growing problem.
13. Arts education for young children, foster children and elegant aesthetics, attention to guide and enrich children's perceptual, in nature to enhance children's emotional experience is very useful.
14. For children in early childhood, a long time and do not let them live with their parents, grandparents even more pro, is not conducive to education. Perhaps there is no scientific reason, but certainly applicable.
15. To cultivate children's charity. Ancient saying goes: small and whom not to be evil, do good deeds, but not as small.
16. Teach your child smile, smile all the face of life, smiling face of life.
17. Children do not make a vow to promise things that must be honored by all means.
18. To often empathy! Done on children, parents should think so often of empathy, if I was a child, I will be like?
19. The children some space and freedom, while a certain amount of pressure and responsibility!
20. Explain to the child, and he has a very cute, and no longer express themselves.
21. Never said that poor children than other children.
22. Not to punish the child by abuse.
23. Doing things the children, constantly looking for something to be applauded.
24. Do not scare children. To avoid the child too timid and fearful.
25. Do not publicly criticize and ridicule the child in order to avoid mental abnormality, loss of self-confidence and so on.
26. Not too harsh on children. So that the children fear, shyness did not dare to express their views, to develop a surface hearted evil character.
27. Do not over-praise children. So that the children become
28. Do not imply that children do bad things. For example, the fight must fight back, do not give yourself something else to eat, do not travel tickets and so on.
29. Foster children the right idol.

grow articles:
1. The child some private space.
2. Opportunities for children and the right to choose.
3. Let the children choose their own partners and friends.
4. Let the children do want to do.
5. Whatever children do some household chores, such as wash their own clothes, cooking and boiling water, so that he realized that he was a member of the family members.
6. Prepare a display shelf for the children, so that he made in the above display their items.
7. Child seriously raised serious questions and views.
8. Like the children as adults, and his equals, the children as their friends.
9. Bit by bit to discover the child's progress, and know how to appreciate kids.
10. I remember the child said: I love you, you're my baby!
11. I remember often kissing your child, hug him (her), felt his (her) head, so that he (she) know that you love!
12. Always concerned about his (her) progress, and also let him (her) own know your progress! Bit by bit to discover the child's progress, and know how to appreciate kids.

13. Communicate with their children more with their children, understanding children, with children counterparts.
14. Do not give children labeled
15. Parents should patiently listen to children's worries.
16. Sincerely praise their children to learn, rather than as pets say
17. Children have regular opportunities and his companions together.
18. Caring for children's health, are more concerned about the child's emotional needs.
19. First adult and then taught, the fundamental goal of education is to train people, a healthy person.
20. The creation of a number of difficulties in life, and children spend.
21. Encourage your child to try not to rely on adults.
22. What are friends to understand their children, it is very important.

chapter of life: < br> 1. Give them some money, let the children learn financial management.
2. Children did not get permission, do not look at children's diaries and letters.
3. Often the child outings.
4. Bedtime stories for children to talk about, let the children sleep with a smile!
5. For his kids to play a major part of the room or rooms.
6. If conditional, and children every day after dinner to the outdoor walk.
7. Happy to share with your child!
8. On the little guy smile and laugh, and hope that he (she) often laugh!
9. Help children and from children of different socio-cultural sectors of the normal contacts.
10. Encourage your child to people of all ages and free association.
11. The children to stay out of the real
12. Teach children to ride a bike, swimming, this is one of the basic skills to enter society.
13. Greeting each other with their children every morning and let him feel good day.
14. Husband and wife is to fight, be sure to remember: avoid the child
15. See their children home from work every day, first of all with a smile asked him again: child, happy are you today?
16. Do not leave him there are too many intangible heritage, to give him a healthy body, give him a mental health, a happy life.
17. Focus on the child's life skills and behavioral habits.
18. For as long as with the creation of dust, do not blame the kids room or desktop chaos
19. Parents to honor their parents, adding the children feel at home full of love, but also their parents should be role models
20. Inter parents humility to each other, mutual understanding
21. Do not be too concerned about the children.
22. Do not be too close to children. Let him have more children of similar age and exchanges, so that the children develop unsociable habit.
23. Do not buy a child to Han Han. Let him know that So as not to shame their children into a number of indolent character.
24. The difficulties in life events can sometimes be some families and children to get better.
25. Love for the child should be stable, not now clear, now cloudy.

learning articles:
1. Reading with their children, parents can see that a good learning partner is very important.
2. Children study at home, parents to refrain from engaging in some recreational activities, a comfortable learning environment is very important.
3. Do not force children to learn they do not like.
4. Do not scold the child's grades and children.
5. Not because the child's low score on the test paper and that the child did not do well.
6. Teach him (her) enough to bring a sense of achievement of knowledge: poetry, figures, stories, home, play, make friends
7. Educate their children read good books, good reading
8. Do the children expressed much concern about academic performance, that would cause the child to learn stress, the pressure increases.
9. Do not put the child's performance compared with other children, to analyze the reasons for this phenomenon, there is no reflection about their own responsibilities.
10. Children's room have their own desk, several have their own desk to read the books, such as the

Entertainment articles:
1. And the children watching his favorite cartoon, along with listening to the stories he likes to hear.
2. And children play games, exercise.
3. Control of the time children watch TV every day for half an hour to an hour in between.
4. Let the children watch some more children's programs: animated, educational programs, etc., and less from the action, drama series.
5. Children watch TV, parents accompany them in a timely manner, and on the inside to make some explanation and discussion of the content.
6. Spring, and children can bike to picnic, summer, and swim to the river with their children, autumn is carrying a wok and children to picnic, a family of three opposition on the ground in winter snowball fights, snowmen.
7. Allow your child to collect all kinds of waste.
8. When the child's friends welcome our guest.
9. And children playing chess, let the children know Lazi no regrets, education, doing things his own to be responsible, under the same time lost to acknowledge that parents sometimes have to let the child win twelve, which is important for children.


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Sunday, May 8, 2011

The original is really together or not, there is no treasure treasure

; (I am being watched, so, I hope we all cherish side ...)
; ; ; ; ;:



just moved into this house that day, she was finishing the Department of things completely, and finally come up with a very fine glass, said to him: drive a drop of water, on behalf of my tears. If it is full, I'll pack up my things to leave this house. What's that do not trust me, then what to talk about? I will let you move in with me to live is to take care of you, not bully you! beloved woman will be a little injury, I will record why I cry, will not be inexplicable. , the woman put the bottle for men, said:

men did not immediately open it, his expression, there was a little surprised, a little bit dumbfounding mean, does not seem to think of a woman's tears can be so much, Sheng so fast, they felt that a woman is a small problem masterpiece, but very cute.

He opened the book started watching and was surprised so many women how to write. Man watching a woman while saying: clean, I say you will not even squeezing toothpaste, ah, you have come to his temper, and then got into a fight ... ... Woman continued: touch cold water, wronged ... ... I can not sleep, so he said I was selfish as you are, we got into a fight, you said a lot of debate, they are not selfish, selfish people are thrown out the door after me online all night, I hit you and call you did not take one person I wanted her to look for you ... ... ,



silence.
long silence.
or woman to break the silence: the atmosphere a little embarrassed.

records of the house things are so small things, because every fight is so simple, a man looked at the book, seems to understand the feelings of a woman, big man is not to care about these little things, the original feel better after each and all right, a woman who loved to take these things, but when he seriously when you watch it, he also began sad, a woman is very careful, the events, feelings have written , also summed up what his reasons. The original accumulation of the smallest things is painful, he could see, a woman from down slowly into despair.

he thought, probably because every fight, they are like in the fight to find out they do not love their own evidence. He suddenly realized that this is a very serious problem! And every argument, both sides are in the mood instability, when the time is still bothering others, the bad emotions into the lives of two people.




for the first time they traveled together to the place, too many good memories are aroused, the original is so deeply in love with each other, when the woman and tender, when the men especially considerate.



>
on the negative things, and magnified the negative mood. and love do not love each other to find their own evidence, and then refused to concede defeat each individual are too stubborn to face. Originally, the two sides just need a little patience, a little bit of tolerance. Recalling the men took her first tour of the place is really hard, and remember that time with them a recent one, to make each other feel good, have shown their best side.

Yan



later they married. Rarely quarrel. If you accidentally knocked a man careless of the cup, the woman will not open reproved, because the woman before the opening, the man has apologized, saying I'm sorry, all I'm not careful, lose two to my wife! While his wife to choose your favorite! A woman laughed and said, do not buy you, anyway, there is the cup, again not all your fault, blame me he had kept the cup away, will let you hit it!

had really no right is inappropriate, not only cherish the treasure, to go along with the progress of happiness!





PS: Please share if you like ... ... Maybe one day want to see it, how hard can not find the ... ...

Thursday, May 5, 2011

Important points CDMA2000 1X

1, there are several multiple access methods? What's the difference between a variety of ways? There are three ways of multiple access, frequency division multiple access, TDMA, CDMA. Frequency division multiple access: a different business occupy different frequency channels, that is, to distinguish between different frequencies by different users. TDMA: traffic channel with the band occupied by different time slots, that is, through frequency + time slot to distinguish between different users. Code Division Multiple Access: a different business channels using different spreading code, that is, the user is on the same frequency by different spreading codes to distinguish the difference.
2, how to understand the global seamless 3G coverage? Because 3G is the 3G standard developed under the supervision of the Commission, and the unity of its band, so it can be seamless global coverage.
3, CDMA network is composed of those basic network elements? A mobile station MS, the base station BTS, base station controller BSC, the mobile switching center MSC, packet data controller PCF, Home Location Register HLR, Visitor Location Register VLR, such as packet data control node PSDN.
4, CDMA communication system model are those links?
Forward: source coding, channel coding, interleaving, scrambling, spread spectrum, modulation, launch. Reverse: reception, demodulation, despreading, descrambling, de-interlacing, channel decoding, source decoding.
5, how do you understand the bit, symbol, chip?
bit: Enter the data as containing bits of information. Symbols: After channel coding and interleaving of data after a symbol. Chip: After the final data obtained from a spread spectrum chip
6, CDMA systems use some of that code, their own role? Long Code: prior to the scrambling code used for encryption, the reverse used to distinguish different users. Codes: the former to the bias through different phases to distinguish between different sectors, both in the phase reverse to 0. Walsh code: forward for the spread spectrum, to distinguish between different users, the reverse for quadrature modulation to improve the reverse signal orthogonality.
7, CDMA system, walsh code resource is allocated? Pilot channel of the walsh code is 0, the synchronization channel walsh code is 32, paging channel of the walsh code is 1-7, and the rest for the traffic channel, if the paging channel walsh code 2-7 not allocated, the channel can also be used for business.
8, CDMA system, walsh code length is fixed it? In IS95 the, walsh code length is fixed 64-bit, in 2000, walsh code length is variable and the shortest is a maximum of up to 256 bits.
9, please describe the principle of Rake receiver? Rake receiver has a search engine, three related, search is used to improve the signal phase, the relevant phase via different signal demodulation, and then merge, effectively overcome by the decline of many to improve the receiver performance, and also the CDMA system, soft handover is possible.
10, CDMA channel code in several ways, for what business?
CDMA channel coding with convolutional codes and Turbo codes, convolutional codes is mainly used for voice service, Turbo codes as the coding efficiency is relatively high, but the delay is relatively large, mainly for data services.
11, briefly CDMA mobile station initialization process?
first CDMA frequency search, capture pilot channel, coherent demodulation to do, and then capture the synchronization channel, access to long code state, the system time, paging channel rate and other information to reach the paging channel, the receiving system parameters message, then into the parameters of the message, a list of neighborhood news, CDMA channel list messages, extended system parameters message, etc., and then waiting at the paging channel, doing registration, calling or paging response.
12, outlined the process of CDMA from the call? 13, outlining the process of CDMA soft-switch?
14, CDMA systems have those interfaces?
Um Interface: MS and the interface between BTS, carrying signaling and operational; Abis Interface: BSC and BTS interface between, carrying signaling and operational; A1 interface: between MSC-BSC signaling bearer; A2 interface: host MSC Inter-BSC operations; A3 Interface: SDU-BTS interfaces between, carrying signaling and user traffic; A7 interfaces: the source and target BSC signaling interface between the BSC; A8 interface: carrying business between BSC-PCF; A9 interface: carrying signaling between BSC-PCF; A10 interface: load the business between the PCF-PDSN; A11 interface: host signaling between the PCF-PDSN;
15, the mobile station under what circumstances trigger the registration, the registration for? There are nine cases, can trigger the registration process, the boot registration, off the registration, periodic registration, distance-based registration, the registration based on Zone, parameter change registration, the registration requirements should BSS, traffic channel registration, based on the User Zone Registration. The role of registration: report of the mobile station's location and status, type and version information, and work in the slot mode, waiting for the time slot information to facilitate the BSS system knows mobile station and paging communications to mobile units.
16, data services between the three states and three states is how to migrate? Three states: idle state, activated state, dormant state.
idle state to active state: the establishment of Um mouth, A1 interfaces, A8 interfaces, A10 interface. Active state to idle state: the release of Um mouth, A1 interfaces, A8 interfaces, A10 interface.
active state to dormant state: the release of Um mouth, A1 interfaces, A8 interface, retained A10 interface. Dormant to active state: the establishment of Um mouth, A1 interfaces, A8 interface. Sleep state to idle state: the release of A10 interface.
17, CDMA systems are those that channel?
IS95 channel are: forward: pilot channel, synchronization channel, paging channel, traffic channel, the first to add code division channel; reverse: access channel, traffic channel, reverse complementary code sub-channels.
CDMA2000 new channels are: Forward: Public power control channel, assignment channel public, public control channel, dedicated control channel, the first channel to the basic, forward supplemental channel
reverse: Anti-Wizard-frequency channel, the reverse enhanced access channel, common control channel, dedicated control channel, reverse fundamental channel, reverse supplemental channel.
18, the role of pilot channel? Use Walsh0 pilot channel spread spectrum, the base station transmit power value, the rate has 4800kbit / s and 9600kbit / s both to help the mobile capture system, multipath search, short PN code phase to provide information to help mobile phone channel estimation for coherent demodulation, switching phone pilot channel measurement, comparing the pilot strength.
19, synchronization channel effect? Walsh32 spread spectrum synchronization channel using the base station transmit power value, the rate for the 1200kbit / s, mobile phone access through the synchronization channel synchronization with the system to provide the system time SYS_TIME, long code state LC_STATE, paging channel rate, the basic network configuration parameters.
20, paging channel messages are issued to those systems? BTS broadcast channel public spending in the paging message, including: system parameter messages, access parameter message, a list of adjacent areas, CDMA channel lists, extended system parameter messages and so on. BTS paging channel paging through the phone and the traffic channel assignment.
21, power control purposes? Power control purposes: to reduce disturbance to overcome the distance effect. Not only improve the network quality of service
22, power control of classification? Reverse: Reverse open loop power control, reverse closed loop power control, reverse closed loop power control is divided into inner and outer ring. Forward: Report of the power control based on measurement (threshold and cycle), EIB power control, fast power control.
23, if the mobile station access was slow, and those parameters related? Mainly concerned with the access parameters, such as NOM_PWR, INIT_PWR, etc.
24, hard to switch to the types? Mobile phone supporting hard handover, pseudo pilot hard handoff, HANDDOWN hard handoff, direct hard-switching.
25, the mobile station has several search window, the general value to be? SRCH_WIN_A, used to search for the active set and candidate set pilots, generally set to 5,20 chip;
SRCH_WIN_N, to search neighboring pilot concentrated, generally set to 8,60 chip; SRCH_WIN_R, used to search for remaining focused on the pilot, the general set 9,80 chip
26, the current CDMA2000 carrier frequency can provide a number of channels to support the number of users?
current CDMA2000 to provide a carrier frequency of 40-45 channels to support 1200-1400 users. According to the specific value of the principles of capacity planning calculations.
27, a district of the call drop rate, should investigate the reasons for those aspects?
1, prior to the coverage problem. If you can not be demodulated forward link, mobile phone switched off the transmitter, thereby causing dropped calls. 2, the reverse link problem. FER performance for the reverse high. 3, pilot pollution. 4, the switching parameters is unreasonable. 5, the neighborhood relationship is unreasonable. 6, the search window to set unreasonable. 7, interference reasons. 8, the other issues. Others, such as the quality of transmission link, repeater, equipment failures, will lead to dropped calls, we need to link error rate of transmission, repeater selection and planning, attention to equipment reliability, etc., carry out regular maintenance checks.
28, soft-switching ratio is how to define, if the high proportion of soft handoff, how to scale down the soft switch?
the proportion of soft-switching = (CE traffic - Traffic Channel traffic (excluding switches)) / Traffic Channel traffic (excluding switches); cause abnormal ratio of soft handover of several key factors:
1, soft-switch with too much. With soft switching, ie the junction in the neighboring district planning regional band overlapping coverage, too often lead to soft-switch. From the drive test data, can grasp the situation with the soft switch. Mainly by adjusting the general height of the antenna, the next dip and azimuth control the size of soft handover zone, the method by adjusting the power setting to control the soft handoff zone requires careful attention to grasp the whole network structure.
2, no dominant frequency coverage. 3, the switching threshold set unreasonable. .
29, how to determine the pilot pollution? If a regional branch of the soft switching more and more than 3, although the soft handover branch or equal to three, but the candidate set also has a lot of pilots, and then Ec / Io is rather poor, this situation may exist pilot pollution.
30, what is fast fading, what is the slow rate of fall? Slow fading: the shadow effect caused by the obstruction, received signal strength decreases, but the field of geographical change in value with changes slowly, so called slow fading. Also known as shadow fading. Slow decline in the value of field strength lognormal distribution, and with the location / location-related; fast fading: synthesis wave amplitude and phase fluctuations with the movement of the mobile station has changed dramatically, as fast fading, the rate of decline depends on mobile station speed. Deep fading point distribution in space is similar to half a wavelength apart. Obey the Rayleigh distribution of its field, also known as Rayleigh fading, fading amplitude, phase, angle random.
fast fading can be further divided into the following three categories: time-selective fading: fast moving users in the frequency domain to generate frequency spread caused by the Doppler effect, which led to time-selective fading.
space selective fading: different locations, different characteristics of different transmission path fading. Frequency selective fading: Fading characteristics of different frequencies are different, causing delay spread, causing frequency selective fading. To reduce the fast fading effects of wireless communication, common methods of space diversity, frequency diversity, time diversity and so on.
31, what is an island effect, what is the tunnel effect?
island effect is caused because the base station coverage area covers more in areas distant from the base station form a small enclosed area, the mobile station is located in this region can not be cut and removed, causing a serious disturbance can easily cause mobile dropped calls. Tunneling effect is due to the terrain causes the formation of the tunnel effect, resulting in a long signal propagation, resulting in greater area coverage,
32, Okumura-Hata model for what the terrain to add, what band?
Okumura-Hata, macrocell prediction ,150-1500 MHz, from 1-20km; Cost231-Hata, for 1500-2000 MHz, macrocell prediction
Walfish-Ikegami, for 800-2000MHz urban, dense urban environment prediction; Keenan-Motley, for 800-2000MHz Indoor Environmental Prediction
33, Congestion Analysis: WALSH inadequate: WALSH less than in the voice business will not appear under normal traffic can only be great in traffic or application data traffic occurs. Value of 0525 corresponds to the release of the reasons (code resource allocation failure). Prior to the power shortage: the former may be due to insufficient power forward common channel take up too much power, the user is too large, set limits prior to the prospective entry caused by the irrational. Value of 0560 corresponds to the release of the reasons (forward restricted.) Reverse power shortage: the user may be excessive, the reverse quasi-entry caused by the irrational limit set. Reference prior to treatment. Value of 0561 corresponds to the release of the reasons (the reverse is limited). Channel inadequate: because the value corresponds to the release of 0562 (prior to the CE less than), 0563 (lack of reverse CE).
34, of failure of a soft switch, no dominant frequency coverage. 2, the switching thresholds and parameters unreasonable. 3, the drain with neighboring relations. 4, adjacent areas priority unreasonable. 5, the search window to set unreasonable. 6, before the reverse imbalance. 7, 8 congestion, interference
35, call setup failure analysis? 1, the network structure is irrational. 2, the power control parameter setting unreasonable. Forward traffic channel transmission power and initial traffic channel prior to the maximum transmit power setting is too small, may cause the mobile station can not correctly demodulate the forward traffic channel. Reverse power control process of the top post, there may be due before the reverse power control step size, frequency, Eb / Nt set parameters such as setting unreasonable cause the failure of the service channel demodulator. 3, access parameters, such as setting unreasonable NOM_PWR, INIT_PWR, PWR_STEP, RLGAIN_ADJ, RLGAIN_TRAF_PILOT and so on. 4, interference reasons. 5, pilot pollution. 6, message retransmissions set unreasonable. 7, before the reverse set unreasonable search window. 8, and switch the conflict. 9, the timer setting unreasonable

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Another night of stars

the world have a variety of lights , with ordinary light Zhu , as well as gorgeous lanterns .
Pro When the evening , the lighted become Another night under the stars .
that scattered light, who is also warm to your heart ?

; elegant lights :
































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;卡哇伊of :





















Lantern is the beginning of the
Replies is a virtue

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Beijing happy nostalgia

 Express from Beijing , has been back a week . . . Feel the time off so fast . . .
in ourselves to give , I also had brisk walking . . . Chinese New Year to come back , oh. . . You will want me. . . Ha ha. . .
spent a month in Beijing , but also a lot of fun places to go and even grandparents, sister, aunt there . Good memories together really good , oh. . .
really happy, do not know when opportunities like this can have . . . So I work, I also take over the family play . . . .
Whenever I turn on the computer , I will first look at our precious period of MV and VCR. . . . . Sometimes, unknowingly eyes wet. . . . Every day my sister said she read and saw on the recall at the time of happiness and everything worth having . . . . .
time, do not feel , I also like a baby . Han Lei . And cried . . . . . I honestly feel no use ah. . . . . Also let everyone worry about me . . . . Will be no oh. . . Yingying will be well behaved . . . . After
really want to live together with family , I love , love me. . . . . We will be very happy. . . . . Grandparents , parents , aunt and my sister and my dear wave swallows a lot of friends my 313 ah. . . . . Oh ye with me ah . . . . .
good with you guys . . . . . Lifetime. . . A lot of life can be. . . . . Because I really love you. . . . .

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Shark and fish

 Experiment has been done will be a group of the most ferocious sharks and tropical fish in one pond, and then separated with a glass , first, the shark can not see every day for the piece of glass collision resistance, where this is futile, It can never go over to the opposite , and laboratory personnel every day, put some carp in the pool , so the shark did not lack of prey , but still want to cross it , want to try the taste of that beautiful day, is still the constant collision Piece of glass, it tried every corner , every effort is exhausted , but every time, always get the scars, both whole body several times bleeding, continued for some days , when cracks in the glass of a , Laboratory personnel immediately with a thicker glass.

Later, Sharks no longer crash the piece of glass, and for those of colorful tropical fish are no longer concerned , as if they just move the wall murals , which began waiting for the carp will be each day , and then Used his quick hunting instinct , like back in the mighty sea vicious domineering, but it is all just fake like just to the final stage of experiment , the experimenter removed the glass , but the shark did not respond in a day Is fixed regional travel to its tropical fish only for those who turn a blind eye , even when those carp escaped to the side , he would immediately abandon the chase , saying that the past does not wish the end of experiment , the laboratory personnel sneer at sea it is the most Weak fish. But the lovelorn

ever knows why, it afraid of the pain .

Tuesday, April 5, 2011

The three strategies to buy clothes

 Methods: the clothes can not visibly see the favorite ^ _ ^
full of clothing in a number of individual shops, inadvertently discovered shines, and the clothes can be love at first sight is the probability of high. But this time should never be the same as found in the New World immediately grin, ran to the boss asking price. If you let the boss know that your love was dead set on this dress, then in his bid to a higher risk will be reduced a lot. Indeed, from beginning to discover just like goods, and have a desire to buy time, and psychological warfare on the boss fired. Then the more Discovered the joy of good clothes to keep inside, his face to concealment. You can dress casually touch the material first, or try on the boss's request. Price need not Jizhe Wen. After wearing, you can be the boss Guoji Zhao, like to ask are there any other colors in this style, even wearing the color you have been very like it; or that 'if the point is like a long sleeve and then the' s class, then the egg inside the bones. At this time, the boss will probably smooth things over, saying good things of this dress, but you can not do away with his ideas. When his good words spoken enough, you can start asking about the price of the. Let the boss do not think you particularly like, make do with selling the calculations, so the price is generally not very open.
Method two: bargain to harden hot ^ _ ^
mouth when tried and found no problems, after all Italy, and the owner of the tug of war between the numbers to pull on the curtain . During this time, the most important thing is to not be any leniency to know relented to a much Taoyin Zi, that was not two words. Sometimes, the clothes themselves have spotted a psychological level, what fabrics, what styles, and whether the store in which the downtown area, and so lots of factors are directly linked to commodity prices. A long-sleeved cotton T-shirt, no matter how good the quality will usually 40-50 dollars, but many bosses will call for the price of 100 yuan or more. At this point, you can make a big U-turn and left the posture, to show the boss is not sincerely want to sell clothes. Bosses will pull you, to tell you that this is a brand of authentic goods, or export to domestic sales of foreign goods, the quality of how good and so on. But you do not have to care about this set, because everyone knows the real name brand clothes at the mall, store to buy clothes and stylish personality chart. So, you can shout a little psychological level than their low price, perhaps one-third of the price he shouted not to. At this point, your boss is bound to increase, and you have to stick to their prices can not let go, do not buy big deal. A few rounds down, fail to beat the boss as long as you will likely be the price you out on the little plus points, perhaps to just be your psychological level, you also give a stage, nodded to pay for receiving it.
Method three: love again ^ _ ^
well known clothes shop was followed by small bursts of wind from the popular, often seen in the clothes this store In addition, a store can be seen, sometimes only some of the details not affect the overall situation where only small changes. Want to follow suit, then we would know something a lot of market, of course, must be Tuiqin, to shop around the. Shop around to say at this time, refers to the bid was three, the same style of clothes in different shops will have different prices, of course, also the fabrics and clothes, shop location related. For this kind of clothes, mostly in several stores around town showing the owner of which, if you want to discuss the intention to discuss the price, you do not have to rush, and he began bickering. You can easily say that is also seen in other stores like the clothes, the quality is not necessarily bad, half the price lower than you, even if you have not asked the price simply is not fair in war you say? At this point, shop owners will be very eager to show that you do not know what's what, at such a price absolutely can not buy. Of course, you can easily say to look at other stores, if not buy clothes, at least, get a clear idea of ​​the market. Theory to the next store and the owner when there is a psychological preparation, but also worse off than where the price can go.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Love you the way with fish, 8 seconds







 Love you the way with fish, 8 seconds
-
- the memory of the fish I was told that only 7 seconds, 7 seconds after the things it does not remember the past, things had become new.
- small fish tank so that it is never bored, because 7 seconds is over, every tour of the places where he is a new world. It can always live in the fresh. -
-
I prefer fish only 7 seconds off to forget everything, have encountered people who have done can all disappear, but I can not fish, so I can not forget the people I love, I can not concerned about the plight of forgotten, I can not forget the pain of Acacia ... ... -
-
fish can not see the love of people cry, can they can feel each other's heartache, this life, we can not do just the free fish, so you can not feel, when you leave me was when I the kind of heartache. As I am not aware that you love me ... ... -
-
how long a person can love? -
-
If I were a fish, I can love you 7 seconds ... ... -
-
7 seconds later I fell in love with you, so love you forever. By way of fish. -
-
I blink, and you? I blink at the right time, how are you? I want you, so I kept the blink of an eye, because I do not want to let the tears flow out. Fish also miss the original time, but also the feeling of pain. To do a fish in the water good, can be free to love, tears, the pain will not be seen. -
-
I often asked myself, to love you, I lost what in the end, the original, I have lost myself. More importantly, I would prefer to continue to do so, because I do not want to do without you. -
-
I can now see the bright sun, you can see the bright spring, you can see your handsome face. If one day, I can only see the darkness, I wish, I really was a fish, because you can have your eyes open face you see without fear of being sad. -
-
my choices? -
-

- if, God gives us an opportunity to do the fish, I hope you can feel my heart ache ... ...
- If, God gives us an opportunity to do the fish, I hope I can love you 8 seconds.

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

The difference between love and like

 Like you and love you the difference between boys who like you

: middle of the night will find you a call to chat late into the night.
love you: middle of the night to see you on the Internet will drive you off the assembly line.

people like you: he will find you out to play, tell you to give up or skipping down to business.
love you: he will urge you to talk with you soon, or homework assignments.

people like you: when you are sick, talk about good things you care about.
love you: when you are sick, he would care to bother you and force you to see a doctor.

people like you: he will try to say nice things to please you, you will feel very happy.
love you: his words are care about you, but usually as in the command.

people like you: he will match what you, as long as you happy.
loves you: He will help you distinguish right from wrong, but you will feel his pipe too much.

people like you: he said he give you the greatest happiness.
love you: he can only give you a guarantee that you with him, he was the most happy.

people like you: he care about the details of your life, even if you did something wrong, he would not point it out.
love you: he care about your every move, tell you what went wrong, what about what to do, that if
how to interact with others.

people like you: he will help you buy your supper, get supper, set you on the class or to work.
loves you: He will help you buy your supper, but will remind you what to eat healthier; he will set you on the class or on the
work, but usually give a lift; because he will not To you and skip class or absenteeism. Because he knew he
for your future efforts.

people like you: he does not care what you do, and what human beings.
love you: he is very concerned about what you do, and what human beings. He also warned you not to contact

with what people like you: he just wants people who love you now
: he had foreseen the future, how to self- effort, good for you happiness.

people like you: he will say.

Sunday, March 27, 2011

After the name of the baby do not worry about , with pre-existing

 Best to listen to the names and 1,000 boys nice girl's name ___ (Special Edition)! you must use the name of the
nice boy:
Zhiyuan (from Zhuge Liang's : > Sheng Rui (immeasurable)
repair Kit (Revised: describe the tall, slender build, clean: clean)
Xin Li (Li: Dawn Xin: bright appearance)
Course (a good man to let him go sailing right)
Yao Xu (Xu: Rising Sun Yao: the wise king of ancient times, the latter refers to saints)
Hung Tao (Hong: strong, prosperous)
Wei Qi (Wei: Great Kei: good luck)
Rong Xuan (Xuan: grace)
more Ze (Ze: extensive water)
Hao Yu (mind like the universe, the vast infinity)
Jin Yu (Yu Huai Jin grip from idioms, metaphors have good moral character)
Xuan Hao (meaning: honorable, imposing appearance)
engine Cang (upright, Invisible Target) (from the Song Dynasty poet Su Shi's Cang ... > Hirofumi (forward; text: writer)
Zhe Han (have a vast knowledge)
Ze Yu (Grace)
Kai Rui (Kai: model; Rui: lucky)
Jianhui (Construction brilliant achievements)
Jinpeng (Jin: Jin is also, original meaning, motivated Peng: metaphors go far)
Tian Lei (Lei: all stone cumulative)
Shao Hui (Shao: Inheritance Fai: Brilliant)
Ze Yang (open sea)
Xinlei (Xin: wealth)
Peng Xuan (Xuan: bright, read xuānn)
strong Hao (Hao: heaven, sky)
Wei Chen (Chen : Ancient said on behalf of the King)
Super Bo (Bo: broad super: Beyond)
Jun-ho (Jun: gentleman ho: huge)
Zi Qian (Qian: holding, fly)
Peng Tao (Peng: impressive metaphor)
Yan Bin (Yan: The Burning Bin: describe gentle)
Hok Hin (Crane: Lonely Yehe H: grace)
more Bin (Bin: describe gentle)
elegance (prime)
Jing Qi (Jing: Ping Angie: Jade)
Ming-Hui (Hui: bright)
Cheng Wei (Wei: Great Honesty: Honesty)
Ming Xuan (Xuan: tolerance extraordinary)
Jian Bo ((Bo: Evergreen is a symbol of longevity. field water)
Hirofumi (forward, Man: writer)
Jun-hee (Jun: tall and mighty; Hee: future is bright)
Ka Yi (R: OK; Yi: OK)
Yu City (light the city)
Yi Xuan (Yi: OK; H: Qiyuxuanang)
Ye Wei (Ye: shine)
Yuan Bo (Bo: erudite)
Ze Wei (Wei: Great Ze: WAN water)
Tong Yi (Yi: shine Tong: red)
Xuan Hung (Hung: Large also Xuan: Light)
Tao Bo (Bo: erudite)
Ye Lin ( Ye: Light)
Ye Hua (Ye: shine)
Yu Qi (Yu: shine Qi: good luck)
Chi Chen (Chi: Wisdom Chen: Ancient said on behalf of the King)
is ho (ho : pride)
Hao Ran (Hao: heaven, sky)
jie (wise and outstanding)
Li Cheng (Sincerity: Honesty)
Li Xuan (Xuan: grace)
Li Hui (Hui: brilliant)
Jun-hee (Jun: tall and mighty; Hee: future is bright)
Hirofumi (forward; text: writer)
Yi Tong Yi: shine Tong: Red
Hong Xuan Hong: China also Xuan: bright
Ye Lin Ye: bright
Zhe Han (have a vast knowledge)
Xinpeng Xin: Wealth Peng: metaphor imposing
Haotian Crestron Redgate Xuan Ming Yu Zhiqiang laugh cedar
Xiaoxiao Tian Siyuan Yu Miao ZYEL think Wenxuan Lu Hao Ran Ju Yang Zhen Xiao Bowen Family
Bo Hao Yan Jin Xin Jin Cheng Li Jia Xipeng fruit fly far Hao Xuan Son Meditation Yutang Chung Kin

nice girl's name:

Mengqi, the peach, Mu Qing, Seoul Lan, early summer, Pei Han, Ao Shan, Man Man, Music Link, but unfortunately the text, the Hong cold, the new soft, language Rong, MSC, night Rong, Han Bo, water peach, drunk blue, piano language, from Tong, proud of sunny, blue language, and Ling, Bi Tong, Yuan cream, pity dream, purple cold, wonderful Tong, Man Yi, Nan Lian, alexandrite, Yuhan, easy to smoke, such as the Xuan, if the South, seeking truth, Xiao also, to the Shan, Mu-Ling, to Rui, Ying Yi, Xue Liu, Haiyun, condensate days, Pei Shan, cold clouds, ice screw, Waner, green true, dawn frost, where Bi, Xia Han, Hong Man, if the smoke, half-dream, elegant green, ice blue, Ling Huai, Ping, books Tsui, Tsui wind, on behalf of the Cloud, Dream Man, David Chui, listening to the cold, Dream Park, drunk easily and visit the rotation, also Yu, Ling Xuan, visit flowers, also pregnant, laughing blue, Jingbo, night bud, ice in summer, a dream song, book snow Yue Feng, read Wei, Jing Yan, from the cold, looking for waves, static Cayman, where the rotation, to have, read Lu, Zhi Lei, thousands of orchids, the new wave, on behalf of the truth, Sunray, Yan Yu, cold flowers, purple mountains, thousands of piano, proud Fu, hope Hill, pregnant butterflies, ice blue, mountain cypress, Chui Xuan, Q. spin, white and easy, and asked Yun, frost, half Qin, Dan Jane, ice tong, also cold, the Yao, Bing Lu , Seoul Jane, Snow Valley, Le Xuan, Han Han, Hai Lin, Ao Lei, Ching Wai, easy to dream, but unfortunately the snow, Wan Hai, the soft, summer blue, also Yao, Miao Han, purplish blue, magic Bai, Yuan wind, ice Feng, Rui visit, Chih-core, where the bud, Fanrou, An Lei, day charge, including jade, blue book, Yaqin, books Yao, from An, Xia Huai Nian Qin, on behalf of Man, Magic Shan, Valley, silk, autumn Tsui, white, sunny, sea-dew, on behalf of the Netherlands, including jade, calligraphy Lei, listen white, Ling Yan, lilac, Le Yao, Han Yan, Han-double, flat butterfly, Ya Rui, proud of, Ling Wei, with buds, from the dream, from Chengdu, the beginning of Dan. listen to blue, listen to Chengdu, language Fu, Xia Tong, Ling Yao, Yi Cui, M & M, pity Han, Purple South, according to Shan, Miao Zhu, visit tobacco, pity Lei , Ying Han, Friends of the green, ice-Ping, Xi cream, Ling Xiang, Zhi Lei, Yan Hui, Ying dream, Yuan Bo, on behalf of the Xuan, purple true, thousands of blue, Ling Han, Chi An, Han An, Huai-Rui, autumn Netherlands, Han Yan, to the mountain, where the plum, hope Man, Camellia, Valley winter, cold security, thousands of Ping, ice smoke, Ya Yang, Friends of the green, pine, poem, flying wind, send the Spirit, the book Qin, young Rong, blue, cold smile, recalling the cold, Qiu Yan, Chih-How, water, incense, reflect it, drunk wave, magic lotus, night mountain, Ava, to Tong Xiaoyu, David South, where dreams, Coleman, read wave, Ying Song, Qing Han, Xiaotian, Han Lei, Bi Han, Ying Qiu, hope smoke, memory, and to use cold, cold smell, Xiao-fan, on behalf also, Monroe, reflected wave, Friends of the core, to send any, pity Lei, Yan Feng, water green, Man He, laughing Shan, Han Shan, Gu Nam, Mu children, summer Lan, Friends of the children, Kogaya, purple blue, Miao Ling, cold winter, Mann soft, language butterfly, green Yun, On the night, looking for sea, hello, Xiao Huai, elegant mountain and visit the cloud, Tsui Yung, Han Fan, Xiao-green, to Ling, SHENYANG ARCHITECTURAL AND CIVIL, including jade, visit Feng, including flowers, night, white, cold An, Ling Zhu, drunk Wei, Yuan Shan, Magic Wave, hope summer, Yuan Yao, Ying Man, Ectocarpus, visit Qin, Gu Bo, white smile, wonderful sea, purple cream, Ling Xuan, solitary silk, pity the cold, where the loose, black hair, Tsui security, such as days, Ling Xue, Qi Ling, on behalf of the cloud, Hong Wei, Dong Ling, Ling Jin, Pei Wen, purple locust, Magic Parker, text mining, snow spin, hope the sea, reflects a dream, An Yan, Ying Yung , Ning Yang, visit the wind, the day also, looking for wind, Xiaoshuang, Xue-Ping, half snow, mountain willow, valley snow, Jing Yi, Bai Wei Han dream, flying the green, such as waves, and sunny, friendly and easy, Hong Ling, winter also asked geese, sea and winter, autumn Ling, condensate Fu, reading smoke, White Mountain, from the soul, Woolf, Ying Rong, read the cold, green, Tsui Fu, Jinger, Miao Bo, thousands of condensate, when her , wonderful spin, Xuefeng, Xia Han, Qi Qin, rain double, listen Feng, looking for the Netherlands, where the, Xiao Fan, Ya-Tong, solitary air, from An, Yee Tong, the jade, Yu Zhen, Magic Silk, on behalf of the plum, blue also, Yuan Ling, Hai Yao, Fei Huai, listen to Lu, the dream Lan, Magic Bamboo, Gu Yun, Yi cream, water, Yao, Mu, sunny, autumn double, the rain really, looking for treasure, Dan Xue, Yuan Feng, thinking day, such as pine, Miao Qing, Gu Qiu, Miao Song, Xiao-Xia, Wan Jun, Bi Qin, hope blue, small summer, Enron, the Green Man, thousands of children, to find pairs, Han Yao, cool plum, autumn soft, thinking Ling, drunk wave, drunk Liu, to cold, welcome summer, to snow, to Dan, by coagulation, Ru Bai, Yan Ling, condensate bamboo, WAN white, early soft, Nanlei, books Xuan, dream Huai, South Qin , green sea, Pei children, Xiao Yao, Ning butterfly, Zixue, read double, Nien-chen, Man cold, where frost, snow, Shenandoah, elegant cream, from Chengdu, Leng Xue, Jing Qiao, Beatrice, looking for Tsui, where the white, Le Rong, Ying-Bo, Dan smoke, dream rotation, the book pairs, read the peach, night sky, An Yun, looking for soft, early South, autumn butterflies, thousands of trade, security Lu, poetry core, mountain goose, Friends of the Ling, Hong Lu, Xiaolan, white flowers, Yushan, cold Jane, Autumn Jade, Liu Xia, such as the, Yi Nan, the book is easy, Tsui, send Yao, such as Man, and asked Liu, magic peach, and Han , drunk butterfly, also green, coral poetry, listening to Qin, the new, easy clever, read cloud, Xiao-Ling, Jing Feng, Xia Rong, such as the South, young silk, autumn and white, ice safety, Autumn White, southerly, drunk Hill, the beginning of Tong, Ning Hai, purple text, Ling Qing, Yaqin, proud of Ann, the proud, the early butterflies, on behalf of the Qin, poetry cream, Bi Ling, poetry Liu, Xia Liu, adopted white, Mumei, Le Ann Dong Ling, Chi An, Wan Ning, rain and snow, easy to true, An He, Jing Zhu, on behalf of Sophie, Dan Qiu, Chi Mei, according to White, condensate load, David Shan, Yi Tong, Ling Qing, the peach, Zhihe , listen to the Netherlands, on behalf of the jade, read Jane, dreams Philippines, spring night, ages, white autumn, Gu Ling, Fei Song, initial Yao, Xi Ling, easy to dream, the new Yao, Man Mei, Biman, Friends of the Yao, Yu Lan, Night Liu, Chih-chun, including Fu, night clouds, according to Xuan, Ning Yan, the lotus, Kofi Annan, David Ching, Seoul Qin, Fei Yang, Bai Fan, Pei Ping, Xue Yao, the Hui, mining text, music treasure, cold load, looking for pairs of white peach, An Hui, Ying Man, hope Yan, Yue Song, Han Shan, Q. Feng, to Liu, with the sea, Chui Man, Yi Mei, Han Liu, navy, Xiao Man, on behalf of the Shan, Yi Dan, Jing Fu, Yee Lan, Dream On, purple silk, thousands of geese, Ning Zhen, Xiang Xuan, dream content, the cold goose, flying Parker, innocent, Cuiqin, send true, the fall of the Netherlands, on behalf of the Shan, snow, Park Place , pity content, such as wind, south exposed, purple and easy, where the ice, sea and snow, language Rong, jasper, language style, condensate dream, from the snow, white maple, proud of cloud, white plum, read Lu, Ning Mu, Ya-soft, hope Liu, half-blue, from the cream, Huairou, pity, sunny, night Rong, on behalf of the pairs, the south, if Ling, Chih-Wen, south, sunny, Meng Han, initial Chui, Ling Bo, asked the summer, but unfortunately the sea, and also spin, Pei Qin, David Huen, white condensate, burst on the scene, out to sea, Qi Yu, Ling Hong, look Qin, Qiu Liu, Seoul white, Ying-chen, including Yan, Han Song, look for snow, smoke, and asked Rui, Ling Yang, Xue Qiao, Dan Xuan, where the double, solitary Ping, purple diamond, look for condensate, proud cypress, proud children, Friends of the content, Ling Feng, Ersi, Man condensate, if the core, and asked silk, think maple, water, flowers, and asked Mei , read cold, poetic double, Tsui cream, night fragrant, cold bud, where the sun, cold Yu, Ping Tong, Wei language, magic coral, purple in summer, Ivy Ling Po, Tsz butterfly, Dannan, the double, where the waves, thinking Yan, White Lotus, from the Han, such as capacity, mining Liu, Pei-lan, but unfortunately the children, night jade, water, children, half who, language sea, listening to Lin, Magic Feng, read Parker, ice Jane, think mountains, condensate core, Jade Day, Si Xuan, to dream, laugh south, summer rotation, the Huai, Yuan Ling, to Tong, mining Xuan, clever man, green blue, flat blue, and asked Ping, green Rong, Jing Bo. Ying Lei, Biman, thinking Hui , white cypress, Miao Han, pity Yang, Yu Bai, Yan Han, dream, and Lin, Lok Netherlands, cold days, pour piano, books south, reflect the day, Bai Meng, initial Yao, Ping Lu, with clever, Mu Rui , half lotus, drunk Hui, Tin Ling, Qing Xue, Ya-Xuan, Qiao Netherlands, flying Dan, if the spirit, Seoul cloud, magic days, poetry blue, blue dream, sea Han, Huai Ling, Yi Qiu, Hanning, condensate Fu, Qi Shan, Jing Bai, Rong Seoul, Seoul Dong, Ying Xuan, Bai Yun, ice pairs, visit Tong, Green Park, WORKER, laughing Tsui, Xiao Ling, including double, hope waves, clouds, pity Tsui, wild wind, the flowers, Hiramatsu, ask children, Willow, such as Chengdu, Man Yung, fine, Dan Qin, Xi-day, look for piano, according to Yao, Han Yi, Yi Ling, from the waves, according to Sophie, and asked Lan, Shan Qing, pity Shan, the clouds, flying double, proud white, Pei Chun, rain south, dream, laugh Yang, on behalf of the content, the Friends of Qin, Yan Mei, Friends of the peach, from the dew, soft words, proud of jade, looking for summer , Xiao Lan, a new, sunny, rain Lin, condensate rotation, green spin, magic incense, looking for pairs, the cold also, Yi Xue, Friends of the flowers, magic Tsui, Jingrou, look for Ling, Dan Cui, Anyang, Ya-Han, Xi Yun , Eran, Yan Yi, Fei Yao, Ciaran, Pei Lan, Jing Tan, Shan Fu, smiling, sunny, new smoke, laugh rotation, Yan Lan, Chui Ling, Qiu Lian, books, peach, proud song, language children, Ying Han, the beginning of Man, listen to the cloud, summer, Yaxiang, language snow, early Jane, white safety, ice Wei, poetry Huai, cold jade, ice Coincidentally, the Huai, summer cold, poetry Yun, the new plum, White Man, Bo from the sun, including peach, Man Hui, laughing Ping, dew, look for Han, Pei white, flat Ling, water-tung, Ann Tong, Han Yi, Yue Qiao, according to the wind, Purple South, also of silk, easy Rong, purple Ping, Xi Xuan, poetry Lei, look for the green, poetry double, look for clouds, solitary Dan, Blue Valley, mountain spirits, magic silk, You-mei, from the clouds, goose wire, hope spin, young rotation, Seoul blue, Pei Shan, on behalf of the wire, looking for loose, fragrant ice, according to Yu, ice, wonderful dream, in winter, Manqing, cold turbot, Sherman, Ann White, thousands also, Ling butterflies, and XIA, South cigarettes. Jing Yi, Pei Ning, Chui Mui, text books, snow flowers, music children, proud of wire, safety green, early butterflies, send the Spirit, but unfortunately the cold, rain bamboo, lotus winter, Yee South, cypress, ordinary, also Jade, solitary blue, autumn Shan, New Yun, semi-Qin, Xia Yao, read text, Xiao-wire, Han Lei, Yan Fan, Gu Lan, Ling Fan, condensate clouds, Cloud Man, Dan Tong, South Cream, Night's Dream, from Jun, Yan Fu, language butterfly , according to Bo, Xiao-Xuan, an idea, hope Fu, Manan, coral mining, initial Liu, Ying days, Manan, Southern Pearl, Muffin, Liu language, including Lin, Xiao Yun, Summer Hill, Seoul capacity, read Dream , proud of the South, and asked Wei, Yu Ling, condensate security, Ice, initial Zhen, Wan Han, Dong Hui, hope, sunny, cold load, send Tsui, fantasy plum, such as where, dream language, easy to dream, thousands of soft, to the Lu, dream jade, Aoshuang, according to Frost and spiritual song, poetry peach, butterfly books, butterfly ice, mountain locust, to sunny, friendly and easy, a dream peach, Xiang Ling, Gu Yun, water Rong, Ya-Yung, flying smoke Yan Netherlands, on behalf of the Fu, drunk easily, summer smoke, by autumn, according to Bo, purple Xuan, Han Yi, Yi s, Magic clever, water, wind, On the cold, white also, pity the snow, listening to the South, read Lei, Meng Zhu , where thousands, send piano, mining wave, Yuan Dong, thinking Ling, Ping Hui, laughing Liu, Xue Hui, Valley dream, green butterfly, flying the Netherlands, peace, solitary, sunny, Zhi He, Man Dong, Seoul Huai to spin Green core, early summer, according to wire, pity the south, a thousand mountains, rain safety, water, wind, sending soft, young maple, where the peach, the new children, Xia Bo, Yu Qin, Jing Huai, Yuan Huai, Ying Yang, Fei Wei small condensate, reflect the cold, proud Han, Gu Rui, laughing Huai, fly orchid, laughing Hui, Ying Netherlands, Yuan Dong, bamboo book, half smoke, Yee-wave, small of, Mi Lu, night snow, winter dreams, Seoul wind, white plum, rain spin, Zhi Shan, Shan-tung, Seoul Liu, Pei soft, Ling Xuan, Pei Ning, white content, music Rong, Ying An, Evian, Ying-tung, where geese, Meng Qiu, drunk Liu, dream Fan, Ruoyun, Yuan Yung, Wai Lei, Ling Han, Tin Wei, white wind, wave visit also pour, easy green, night, south, Man who is also clever, young and easy. ice really, white Xuan, Friends of the security, Poetry Tsui, Xue Zhen, sea, small core, and Qin, Hong Tong, language dream, but unfortunately the core, Ying Tong, Pei white, Yanshan, easy Rong, Xue Qing, Shan poetry, ice green, semi-plum, smile, Pei Ning, Yao read, such as winter, to the truth, from Chengdu, Yiyun, the goose, Seoul butterflies, winter is easy, Dan also, Summer Hill, drunk incense, hope summer, solitary Ling, An Lin, Q. 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Thursday, March 3, 2011

China's 2G mobile phone chip market will usher in the Battle of Red Cliff

 China's 2G mobile phone chip market will usher in the excellent opportunity, through the early post-war ushered in China's 2G mobile phone chip market, a temporary calm, decided to 2G mobile phone chip market, China's top three pattern of War unexpectedly exciting field. Learn the latest trends in electronic technology and applications, please Subscribe to the the enemy can win. We are across the company to make good use of this opportunity Maozuliaojin. all have turned Spreadtrum platform, familiar with the market Spreadtrum platform developers pay high prices debug the PA, customer technical support Spreadtrum reflect the manpower shortage and not in place, the software interface to be improved details, and said after the event's technical staff and partners contact details for further communication to be platform switch, the switching process in MTK's technology and product positioning strategy of continuous errors, leading to the end of 2009 a large number of customers to shift from MTK Spreadtrum Spreadtrum mm when the cell phone chips and MStar program matured after years of efforts, especially the development of inquiry SC6600 platform for quality and cost-effective, downstream customers a new choice, no longer willing to pay for the mistakes MTK.
with Spreadtrum's rise and burst on the scene MStar heads and feet, 2010, China's mobile phone chip market from a monopoly MTK toward the MTK, Spreadtrum and MStar Triwizard era. While 2G mobile phone chip market in China, MTK still holds the major market share, but shipments of Spreadtrum has reached 600 to 800 million / month or so, expected in 2010 In the second half will exceed 1,000 million / month, and has achieved a wide range of customers, and shipments of MStar estimates are close to 100 million / month, and successfully enter the association, Sky and smell Thailand and other large customers.
As MTK, Spreadtrum, and MStar have each have their own problems to solve, so this year will be the MTK, Spreadtrum and MStar the preparation period, the current market structure will not be much change in mm of the market is expected to MTK the steady decline, Spreadtrum steady rise, while the larger uncertainties MStar .2011 outbreak three years is likely to market share and a price war, and probably is initiated as a latecomer MStar.
the pattern of hegemony would make China more exciting mobile phone chip market, the downstream system machine manufacturers will have more choices.
effect loss of Jingzhou: MTK switching platform in order to reduce costs and errors
improve product performance, 2009 In the second half, MTK MT6225 introduced to replace the single-chip packaging platform MT6253, 6253 integrates baseband, RF, SIM card switching and power management chips, lower cost, multimedia performance was slightly better than 6225 mm at Daiwa Securities Analysis Master Zheng Mingzong in a report that 6253 single-chip costs only $ 1.5, while the 6225 chip set costs 2.5 dollars. This will undoubtedly enhance the competitive advantage of MTK and MTK's gross margin pressures easing.
Table: Daiwa Securities MTK6225 and 6253 on the cost of 2009/07
Although 6253 was a very competitive product, but the MTK has had two mistakes. First, technical error, as a pillar of MTK's products, changes in 6253 too much, not only the introduction of SMT factory downstream require a higher level of technology aQFN package, resulting in many small SMT plant yield is very low, and the 6253 sale and it is difficult to repair the motherboard, and there is the possibility of burning the main chip; In addition, the 6253 supports more special admux flash, due to miscommunication, MTK, when the shortage of production capacity of several flash memory manufacturers did not get timely support. Second, the pricing strategy errors, MTK has taken on the 6253 and 6225 is almost the same price strategies are about 5 dollars.
for downstream firms, 6253 without any appeal, first, the platform takes time to mature, while orders from overseas clients in particular need stability; followed by the early 6253's on a lot of negative news, For example, mentioned above, SMT, repair and flash support issues; and 6253 without any appeal to the price, no reason to risk.
more importantly, the end of 2009 China's 2G mobile phone chip market is no longer MTK a monopoly. Thus, the second half of 2009 came out 6253's pricing strategy, many customers have turned to the quality, stability and MStar Platform Spreadtrum Spreadtrum 6600L mm and 6225/6253 was spread over 1 to 2 dollars. MTK large customers Shenzhen, a major mobile phone design company executives on the that since 6253 the cost of lower than 6225, it should be sold cheaper.
Figure: MTK Nomura Securities on the proportion of each product line shipments forecast 2010 / 7
While many satisfied customers, but the MTK was forced carry out their plans to switch the platform to the market demand in the first half of 2010, 6253 a lot of inventory, 6225, and a large low-end 6223D stock, which in turn led to a number of customers to switch and MStar Spreadtrum Spreadtrum platform or to improve the procurement of the chip the proportion of such old design company Longcheer low-key introduction to Spreadtrum platform, there are many programs the company's new projects are based on Spreadtrum platform.
many solutions company believes that this is MTK 6253 to promote platform for its low margins and 6223D 6225 imposed mandatory stock. the MTK big clients that is hard to say MTK forced out, there may be a variety of factors. to his analysis, MTK production in certain period is certain, so it is estimated MTK prepared for the 6253 a lot of goods, only a few stocking 6225, 6223D have a certain amount of goods, MTK switching platform, according to a predetermined plan, due to no one dared to 6253, 6225 prices will be very expensive, so we rush to do 6223D, 6223D result is out of stock.
a mobile phone chip industry commented that, MTK's example shows that a company would like about the whole market, in full accordance with their own ideas is very difficult to control, especially in the opponents gradually enhance the introduction of competitive products and circumstances, br> Chinese mobile phone market, a number of chip suppliers need to appear
, MTK platform for development of telecommunications switching errors and MStar take advantage of, but in 2010 China's 2G mobile phone chip market from a monopoly to the the early embryo, the deeper causes of China's mobile phone market is huge and diverse needs of multiple vendors, a monopoly is not the normal practice, a number of suppliers a competitive situation is the normal state.
shipments a year from 6 to 7 million units, a can handle, so MTK moment out of stock, while technical support is not in place, Gubuguolai. China's mobile phone system has thousands of machine manufacturers, there is a certain size (annual shipments than a million) and has 100 200, any supplier can not achieve product, supply, technical support and price are in place market is not who is playing who, but certainly the concept of the coexistence of multiple vendors. even if all the products and prices are the same, also have their own living space, because the market is so huge, the number of customers too much > Lin Yongyu also compared the Chinese mobile phone market in particular and TV markets are different. He explained: well, not easy to make mistakes, so there is no MTK attack four years any way up, stressed that: downstream approval. the big clients that MTK, choice practice there is no way. MTK platform for some confusion, for example, pushing a six-month 6223D fact not only how supply, and there are some manufacturers to follow MTK tired, insecure, have turned to developing information and MStar. However, Li Sheng MTK digital still full of confidence, in order to get a better price, delivery and technical support to ensure, Li Sheng Digital recently spent a high price as the MTK licensing customers.
Thus, in a sense, downstream customers early in the development of information and MStar look forward to these new suppliers. phone multimedia processors and camera sensor suppliers Si Bike, an executive said recently there are indeed many customers to switch to Spreadtrum platform, because 6600L L a good cost structure, program maturity, Spreadtrum's future product road map is also very attractive; and 6223D stock, we have an excuse to take the opportunity to cut into the show to do a balance inquiry, as a bargaining chip in future negotiations, and MTK.
newly introduced Fair Dragon Communications Platform is a typical representative of the flag, although the dragon flag 200 million shipments a month or so, is MTK's major clients, but not MTK high-quality customers. Long, a research and development manager, said the flag, high-quality customer can get better availability, delivery and price, MTK quality customer standards is in line with the main degree of comparison to see who is obedient, and as a large design company, the dragon has its own flag Development. Spreadtrum introduced Longcheer platform, not only because Spreadtrum 6600L has been accepted by the market, it is more important is that MTK has been very dissatisfied with the dragon flag mmMTK because I heard the dragon flag and Spreadtrum contact, in June the originally assigned to the dragon flag 6223D reduce the number of chips a lot.
decided to pattern the top three of the , Spreadtrum has been in China for many years, and MStar the execution is good, but in the mobile phone industry, it is a newcomer But he then changed the subject, laughs, want to make the National Games, Asian Games and the Olympic Games and only then , they are very low-key, it seems all hope is more concerned about the other side MTK rather than their own, want to watch the other two sparring own, such as their opponents have exaggerated surprisingly shipments data, while shipments of its own data are either very conservative or vague. can be expected, the three the problems brought before a firm development effort, while its average selling price increase (ASP) and gross margin of the new generation of 3G and smart phone platforms to be able to launch the first half of 2010. Spreadtrum take some time to digest the rapidly expanding Shipments to the challenges of company operations and quickly expand capacity and strengthen the technical support team, the other product lines also need to improve. Finally, as newcomers MStar may also need some time to improve the quality of their own particular protocol stack operating system compatibility and to ensure that once the shipment is not to worry about upgrading later.
therefore, will be the second half of 2010 MTK, Spreadtrum and MStar the preparation period, the market structure continues the trend of the first half. MTK platform switch as the biggest beneficiaries of mistakes, Spreadtrum has a good customer base, market experience and competitive products, coupled with the first half of 2010 many new projects to Spreadtrum, and its steady shipments continue to rise. in 2G and 3G product key conversion of the MTK, to balance market share and gross margin, and as a market leader MTK need to try to maintain the market price system and the stability of the strategy is unlikely to take drastic, wanted stability remains critical, so the market share and gross margin will be stable and may decrease slightly. and MStar shipments will steadily rising, but whether in the short period of time from the hundreds of thousands of shipments per month to millions of rapid increase is still a doubt, the relative uncertainty larger.
MTK: market share or gross profit margin to be? This is a problem despite the 6253 conversion
encountered a problem, but in high pressure and MTK both hardware and software inventory, the lower platform, many customers have turned to 6253 m On the one hand, the efforts of the MTK, 6253 的 SMT, maintenance and supporting the supply of flash memory largely resolved, although some issues, if careful testing, good results can still be obtained; the other hand, MTK supply by limiting the 6223D the price of commitment and follow-up 6253, forcing customers to switch to 6253.
the Li Sheng digital source said: also expensive. MTK technical support and the lack of a general level of small and medium factories yield 95 ~ 97% mm of this level of design company or not accept, because the current board of the Maori only 5 ~ 10%.
executives said the MTK, MTK's current share of product shipments in 6223 accounted for about 30 to 40%, about 20 ~ 30% of 6253, 6225 and 6235/35 more than 10% each. MTK hope that 6253 will replace the 6225 first, then slowly replace the 6223 end of 2010, total shipments in 6253 will account for more than 50%, while the 6223 is about 30%, a slight increase in 6235/38 steady. He did not directly answer whether the 6223 will limit supply, but stressed that want customers to 6253 rpm. can be expected is that gross margin pressure on listed companies MTK have to make some sacrifice market share.
table: Nomura Securities on MTK's product roadmap and the proportion of shipments in 2010/07
However, 6253 To become mainstream, the price may be an important issue. MTK will be in March 6253 dropped slightly to $ 4.7 after July further raised to 3.6 to 4.0 dollars, while the current price of Spreadtrum 6600L 3.1 to 3.5 U.S. dollars. not few customers said that the current price of 6253 is not reduced to bits, because the price is not enough decisive and thorough MTK, Spreadtrum has led to a lot of market share growth, the market has been taken away Spreadtrum, prices need to be able to Genghen win back. The large customers MTK to 0.5 U.S. dollars, is now $ 1 lower and lower is not effective, and there is no price advantage of 6600L to drop too Genghen. MTK estimated before the end of 2010 is also likely to put 6253 down to $ 3, which is everyone's expectations.
RDA phone outside a chip supplier executives also said the market now in the hands of Spreadtrum, MTK to strive and work hard, if MTK's price strategy can not effectively prevent the development of information and its market share will plummet, as can snatch away the market, but also the successor to MTK. He explained that Spreadtrum 6600L has been gradually recognized by customers, but the MTK 6253 has not been recognized by customers, many customers Q2 of this year's exhibition of new information on the project will be in Q3 / Q4 production, it is certainly Spreadtrum unstoppable in Q3/Q4. He stressed: to prevent the development of telecommunications, MTK first half of 2011 will continue to decline, it is estimated that MTK will not be weak 07
In fact, it involves people jealous of the gross profit margin of MTK problem mMTK current 60% gross margin, and Spreadtrum maintained at 40%, which makes a lot of customer dissatisfaction. particularly at a lower design and integration margin thin, the former board each earn an average of $ 0.5, which is only $ 1 or so. Tianyu, an executive said privately that the 6600L and MTK Spreadtrum of 6253 did not differ, MTK's gross margins have dropped to 40% was reasonable. This represents a lot of people think.
this, executives do not want to respond positively to the MTK. his mobile phone chips, as well as CD-ROM and other product lines, compared to cell phones, drive higher margin chips, but only a mobile phone chip Spreadtrum; followed by the 2009 foundry foundry costs are cheap, so tight production capacity this year to get good price is not easy, this year's gross profit margin will not be so high. margin is determined by the market, it is difficult that is high or low. He also suggested that MTK will not cut prices recently, Do you want to drop depends on the market price, because price cuts early this point in time may be dissatisfied customers, unless the amount since 6253 after the price cuts by way of rebate. Now price is not only damaged its gross profit margin, but also fail to take away the purpose of developing telecommunications market and is currently Spreadtrum capacity is limited. the MTK's major clients, said:
MTK operation of the company is now in the classic dilemma is to give up the pursuit of market share in high margin, or keep their market share and give up the high profit margins. The choice is difficult, especially in MTK this for many years in the market so smooth still occupy the leading mmMTK 2G mobile phone chip market in China about 80%, if the price war, injured most of the self, if you do not fight, rivals grew up. MTK executives of the : MTK's operating and management costs are dramatically reduced.
Therefore, it is shipped depends MTK 6253 and 6223 cases, MTK unlikely the price war in the main product line, especially unlikely active price competition. By 2011, MTK more competitive in the high-end launch of the 3G and smart phone platform, and the launch of 6223 SoC low-end single-chip solution, the pricing strategy may be more active and greater flexibility. the MTK executive stressed: qualitative change in the future to the infinite, the biggest enemy is himself in a rapid rise in
Er For information on the exhibition, in addition to market share, the most pressing need is to quickly expand production capacity and strengthen the technical support team to address the large volume Spreadtrum mm is expected to increase the capacity problem in the third quarter will be a great relief, but the volume of the expanded operations to bring pressure to take some time to digest. Also the development of telecommunications product line is relatively simple, the follow-up products line also takes time to perfect. Therefore, the issue is resolved, Spreadtrum for the time being is unlikely to take drastic mm Spreadtrum pricing strategy is not easily increased in April after the authorized customers, also illustrates the operation of Spreadtrum is very strong, but experienced a stock price Spreadtrum more than $ 0.6 will not be afraid of a price war.
Figure: Spreadtrum 2G roadmap
Although MTK Spreadtrum platform switch to bring the opportunity, but the chances are ready to leave only the people, Spreadtrum rise in 2010, more experienced in the market is low and management turnover Spreadtrum hardships and penance in the past few years, the result of internal strength. Spreadtrum Yang IV, said in recent years show QA and testing of telecommunications companies the status of the two sectors increased significantly, from chip design to software development and field side, have done meticulous to ensure delivery of products to prevent problems to the customer.
2008 Exhibition News in the doldrums When an early introduction in TCL mobile phone MTK platform design company executives said on the author, Spreadtrum is done by their own dead, it is better than the absolute level of technology and even some aspects of poor MTK stronger than MTK, but its The problem is instant success, and the internal management of confusion, such as single-chip dual card dual standby technology was first made out of Spreadtrum, this is an excellent chance to counterattack, but why do not know how the competition will soon become the magic weapon MTK. writer in 2009 Visit the company Spreadtrum also very surprised when the hall was established in 2001, Spreadtrum Communications in 2007, listed on the Nasdaq, but until 2008 to obtain ISO9000 quality management system certification. Spreadtrum, a top executive at explained that although the pioneering generation of Spreadtrum strong technical strength, but the R & D management is very extensive, in late 2007 acquisition of RF chip maker Spreadtrum Quorum discuss cooperation after and Samsung phones and found that he was not done with ISO9000.
addition to R & D and quality management, the development of telecommunications in customer service has improved more this past year show information from customer growth and a sharp increase in the volume of the effect can be seen. few people, weak, always passively waiting for customer issues, and still can not solve the problem, The only code of conduct, employee service awareness has greatly improved, from passive to active, from the transfer problem to solve the problem, customer service has been greatly improved, red in the first-line support personnel and training a lot of added Technology strongman home agents support resources to make the expansion of services and reserve personnel. Yang four pairs of services, such as helping customers to promote their own brand of products to overseas sources, the real one-stop service SC6600L2, SC6600L3 and SC6600L6, Spreadtrum said to be in the third quarter in the end a very competitive platform for 6800H. 6600L series is successful if MTK card like that between the 6223 and 6225/6253, 6800H the card in the MTK De between 6225/6253 and 6235, 6600L repeat the success expected to form between MTK Spreadtrum and competition across the board. Yang IV, said: terms of points and weak points of the strongest competitors is the key to success will be repeated positioning .6800 H SC6600L impact on the market, it will completely disrupt the existing market structure reincarnation , Spreadtrum is whether the formation of a strong enough execution. If you can do in the future development of the future of unlimited information.
MStar: those who launched the market changes?
MTK and Spreadtrum relative to the temporary Qiuwen, most likely to launch a price war is a relatively small volume, more hungry MStar.MStar the Linyong Yu did not disclose the current shipments, but that certainly is more than 50 million / month mm legend of the industry's data is MStar shipments of 200 million / month, plans to achieve 500 million by the end / month, according to the author of the Thai press, Sky and high Will major customers such as MStar tracking shipments, estimated that 50-100 million / month room. Linyong Yu on
He hinted that, $ 3 less, must be forced, it may be us up. because the cell phone chip business is not accounted for the proportion of revenue, gross margin was less affected. but Linyong Yu has repeatedly stressed that the price is only one aspect of the customer need not only to accept lower prices, in addition to price factors, service, supply, contacts and confidence may lead to customer switching platform, no company can take-all market.
However, there are people in the industry said that although MStar have a good reputation and chips in China's TV track record of success, many customers have high expectations, but complex mobile phone market, it takes time and streamline their sound mm products such as its high-end positioning, brand large customers, but there is no threshold for small and medium customers. hundreds of thousands of shipments per month can not fully prove himself, which requires a process MStar mm problem is not much time left, one MTK is vigorously attacking the backyard MStar m TV chip business to harass MStar, the second is the 2G mobile phone running out of space and time . MStar market this year, there seems to take advantage of its TV chip business at the top and 2G mobile phone chip market, there are stories to tell the suspect cash quickly.
Figure: MStar 的 2G roadmap
for these statements, has been very low-key and respectful Linyong Yu made some clarifications. He points are different. For example, the low-end GSM Spreadtrum up from playing, MStar beat down from the high-end EDGE. MStar play from top to bottom there are some difficulties, a longer cycle, the advantage is 2G and 3G software platform that can be shared to facilitate future customers to develop a full range of products, and competitors, the open software platform and stability of the future may be challenges. As there are many small customers, it is a historical legacy, because the previous play is not into the brand manufacturers, so MStar development many medium and small customers, small and medium customers in order not to fight the initiative, now support these small and medium customers by the agents. For MStar internal argument does not straighten out, he said puzzled, because Taiwan and the mainland's mobile phone chip business were he was responsible for may be this statement from the .

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

The fate of a bear market rally

 The fate of a bear market rally [1]
for 5 months, global stock market rally to the New York, London, Frankfurt, Tokyo and other places of investors confidence in economic recovery and hope. The moment, the stock market again at a crossroads Almost every trader on the stock market is full of anxiety the next step in the direction, up or return to the downward trend continue to rise? someone from the technical analysis of the market itself to conclude that someone from the macroeconomic and micro-enterprises draw their own situation to improve conclusions. By contrast, we hope to determine from a comparison of historical stock market trends Contracts. preliminary conclusion is: started in March 2009 of the global stock market but a major bear market rally after .1929 Dow Jones index in 2000 after the Nasdaq peak in 1990, after the Nikkei 225 index have occurred in similar large-scale bear market rally. through the history and reality of the market for large-scale analysis, we might get some Inspiration different.
bear market rally will be four regular
after the Dow Jones index in 1929, after the 2000 Nasdaq peak in 1990, after the Nikkei 225 index to do comparison, see Figure 1 Figure 2. We found that several large-scale history of this bear market, although the times, in different market conditions and monetary system, bull and bear down the formation of the reasons behind the different opinions, but the relative ups and downs before and after the peak amplitude and time distribution and other aspects the basic law of the following four aspects:
Figure 1 The Dow Jones index (1921-1950) and the Nikkei 225 Index (1981-2007) Figure 2 Comparison of
Dow Jones index (1921-1950) and that NASDAQ Nasdaq index (1993-2009) before the peak contrast
super bull market: the super-bear market a few times, all before the peak, more than a decade has experienced a long-term rise, especially in the years before the peak experienced exponential speed increases. For example: February 8, 1971: the first index for the Nasdaq 100 points, after ten years exceeded 200 points in 1981 In 1991 April 12: 500; March 10, 2000: create a record high of 5048.62 points. And from August 1921 to September 1929, the Dow rose by 468% .1989 before the end of the peak, the Nikkei 225 index has experienced a 17-year bull market, the overall rose 20.23 times.
astonishing bull market decline after the peak: 3 years after the peak decline in more than 50% or more. Japan's Nikkei 225 index from the highest point of the end of 1989 fell to 20,221.86 points 38,916 points took 9 months, and to August 18, 1992 fell to 14,309 points, the peak value of the stock index dropped more than 63%. and the Nasdaq 10 March 2000 peak of 5132 points, only two months after a 3042 point fall in the third years, in October 2002 fell to 1108 points, and down 78% compared to the peak. The Dow Jones Index from September 1, 1929 fell 386 points to 41 points in 1932, falling 86%.
bear market rebound height can reach 50% before the decline even higher: bear market rallies that often lasted for up to several months, the late rebound, analysts and traders generally considered bear market has ended. When the bear market rally ended decrease in panic, the transaction who have realized their participation in the mini-bull market is a rebound, 50% recovery of the previous fall, continued to decline until 1932, after the lowest point. while the Nasdaq index began in May 2000 point rally from 3042 to 4289 points, to recover a 60% decline.
the length of the duration of a bear market more than most people expected at that time, in the first 14 years after the peak hit a low again. For example, the Dow fell from a peak in 1929, after the hit low again until 1942 (just above the the lowest point in 32 years) before starting to enter the long-term upward trend. Nikkei after the peak in 1990, also hit the lowest point in 2003. At present, the Nasdaq index in the first 9 years after the peak, its trends and 1929, 9 years after the Dow Jones index is very similar to the second large rally.
Many traders believe that the economic crisis broke out in 1929, especially in the beginning of 1929, Dow Jones and S & P 500 falling trend is isolated, unique, not like before 1929, a similar situation, after which there is no similar situation. actually not. Through the comparison we found that in 1932, long after the last big bear market will still be a few basic rules in different markets an effect on. We also found, and several years before and after 1929 bear market similar to the four characteristics of the stock market, far more than the few cases, such as the S & P after 1835 years after the gold 500,1980.
The Dow Jones index has the possibility of new lows we
1994-2009 1921-1956 Dow Jones index and the Dow Jones index contrast between the found (Figure 3, Figure 4), 2007 years after the Big Bear City in character and similar to the three movements. and if this similarity continues, then the above three major bear market in more than a decade in the performance of the four rules out of the future will be able to provide some clues. < br> Figure 3, the Dow Jones index (1921-1956) and (1994-2009) Figure 4 Comparison of A
Dow Jones index (1921-1956) and (1994-2009) Comparison of B
in Figure 3 We put the Dow's peak in 2000 and the Dow Jones index's peak in 1929 to compare the time coordinate coincide; in Figure 4, we put the Dow's peak in 2007 and the Dow Jones index of time to peak in 1929 compare the coordinates coincide. two comparisons, we can find a peak in 2007 and 1929 peak and the peak in 1937 are similar. The reason behind may be that after 2000 the Dow Jones and S & P 500 After the peak, with greater currency Greenspan bubble slowed the arrival of a large bear, resulting in a greater peak in 2007. So the Dow and 1931 the situation was the same, or the same as 1939?
If it is 1931, then dropped the time from the point of view is not enough, the Dow Jones index of the first wave of large-scale decline after 2007 lasted only one and a half, rather than the aforementioned three major bear market bottom in the three years before, that is, say whether the Dow after the rally after this wave, again in the future more than a year of time to new lows? from a historical perspective, the Dow Jones index has the potential to new lows.
the other hand, fell from the rate is also far from reach point of view, the Dow's low in March 6688 points down from the highest point of 14,088 points by 52%, and the several large-scale bear market, compared to the initial three years are a far cry from the decline. Some predict that the next two years, Dow Jones will test the top of the period 1966-1982 is roughly 1,000 points. But even if the Dow Jones index to new lows, will meet again after a few years to recover at least half the decline of large rebound . Some predict that the real bear market rally to wait until 2012 or so, there will be many oscillations after a rebound in the 14-year low after the peak, the latest in 2020 to start a new round of long-term rise in stock will enter Under a long-term rising trend continued, with the long-term economic prosperity.
1939 if this wave will be similar to 1938-39 Dow Jones index on the rebound, rebound height will be highs and lows before of the golden section line, which is roughly 11,200 points in the vicinity. That is the current Dow Jones index still room for growth around 2000. In three years, which is equivalent to 1942, in 2012, undergoing a Qiangzai low, after the Dow will enter a long-term upward trend in the large.
China's stock market over the next few years is difficult to bear-market rally index peak
Figure 5 The Shanghai Composite Index and the Dow Jones index (1921-1942) A
Figure 6, the Shanghai Composite Index and the Dow Jones index (1921-1942) B
in Figure 5, we put the Shanghai index's peak in 2007 and the Dow Jones index of the peak in 1929 to compare the time coordinate coincides shows that the Shanghai index's ups and downs before and after 2007, even more dramatic steep, steep level of perhaps only 1980 gold prices can be compared. When we put the Shanghai index expanded horizontal time scale, and then get and Road Jones index to compare, that is, Figure 6. We see declines from the lowest point, the relative height of rebound of view, the aforementioned three major stock index and
highly similar to the characteristics of a bear market. Therefore, we conclude the following: < br> in the first half of the stock market rebound, three hundred, and in Shanghai and Shenzhen index cards in circulation have been more than 50%, 60% deep refers to the close, and the laws of the Shalao bear market rally is relatively the same height; the next few years can only be repeated approximation of the second peak is difficult to exceed this height.
the next few months or even years of support, according to 1929--42-year rule, is the lowest value and the second peak before the next golden section between the above card index cases in the 2300-2380 point.
within the next several years lows, including the possibility of the first 14 years after the peak appears low, does not necessarily lower than the peak after the first low. That is the future The index fell below 1664 points again are slim.
the next 10 years, thousands of similar point a few years before and after 2007, the ups and downs will be very rare, index points in 3400 and 2300 the area between the long-term fluctuations will be the future trend.
the long bear market will be more than expected in the coming first out
into long-term bear market is likely to rise in the stock market in Japan, the Nikkei 225 index from 2003 lows, you may have entered a long-term bull market uptrend; but in 2007 the global outbreak of the inevitable impact of the economic crisis of the Japanese stock market's upward trend, in 2008 the Nikkei fell below 7603 points in 2003 and 7000 point mark after an integer, and there is no deep down; We believe that In the next two years, the Nikkei will be formed if the effective breaking 14,600 is different from the other countries of a new upward trend in the stock market. borrow a commodity futures analyst's comments, said: Inf, feng shui reincarnation, Japan in 20 years While economic statistics are marking time, but the Japanese companies and people in the 20 years of practical work will eventually return the Nikkei's Nirvana.
represented by the Nasdaq stock will lead into the high-tech industry once again long-term bull market: Nasdaq will be a low point after the year 2013-2014, began leading the Dow Jones and S & P 500, into a long-term bull trend. fundamental reason may be that cell phones and mobile devices is still the explosive growth, half of the world will use the phone, which has been in the other half of the world's mobile phone users will have more features and services, mobile equipment and communication network will integrate the current communication navigation system, TV computer and even the safety of all function, and then rise to numerous industries and business models, once again ignite the world for investment in high-tech and knowledge-based economy enthusiasm.
length of time a bear market more than most market participants expect the future path for the stock market and the economy , it may have been long and depressed. We long speculated that perhaps the U.S. stock market will not be as long as 1929m42 years, and we do not like the stock market in 1990 after the Japanese stock market so long, but definitely better than Today, most people expected much longer. investors need to pay more attention to the time value of money. In addition to concern about stock prices, we emphasis the value as a true long-term investors should be concerned about the return on corporate dividends, earnings and financial condition.
We speculate that perhaps Zhu Graham cycle, Kuznets cycle, Kondratieff cycles of several different cycles of the resonance and superposition effect, coupled with market forces and popular sentiment itself is speculative factors, creating the index of the long cycle. In the long bear market, some companies will disappear once great, but there are always some companies will survive and thrive after the boom. When the bear market ended, once again the great bull market coming, accounting standards around us, monetary system and business theory, and so things can not now look like.
Theoretically, this long-term predictions of the future will certainly fail, because the prediction itself has changed the future. but we are sure history will always repeat itself, because human nature never change.
[1] This article was written in August 2009, partners Mr. Wang Yafeng independent capital investors. Economists generally do not go straight to predict stock market, the paper's main index is not intended to predict the rise and fall, the main intention of writing is to compare the stock market trend in the financial crisis. China's stock market since the financial crisis the bottom of the top 70% rebound (the highest on the Shanghai Composite Index rebounded to more than 3400 points) We had hoped to see the stock market by comparing the historical trend of the future. From the past six months the operation of the stock market situation, which has strong persuasive historical comparison.
can not map. reproduced in full in a forthcoming book of How far? mm currency crisis, the oil bubble, and climate change.